While manufacturer Facebook does not release official figures, one analyst estimates that Facebook is on track to sell more than eight million units by its first anniversary on October 13, 2021.
Mark Mahaney, head of U.S. investment advisory firm Evercore ISI, is quoted on Barrons.com with this forecast (via Mixed.de). To date, Facebook would have sold an estimated five to six million units, the analyst said. So in just nine months after launch, this result would have already reached the volume that took Sony more than three and a half years to achieve with PlayStation VR. Mahaney referred to "industry reports and his analyses" in his assessment. According to the report, Facebook could generate $2.4 billion in sales from the VR headset in its first year, which would account for about three percent of total sales. Mixed.com explains:
"Facebook's huge investment in VR technology doesn't outweigh this gain: According to Mahaney, Facebook's VR business will post a $5.4 billion to $6.4 billion operating loss this year alone. The reason: about 10,000 employees are working on VR and AR glasses of the future."
Looking into the crystal ball, we would also assume similar sales figures for the Quest 2 - after various hints and presented sales figures from Mark Zuckerberg and XR boss Andrew Bosworth.
Previous record holder Sony reported a total of 5 million PSVR headsets sold in January 2020. After a subsequent software lull, however, game announcements for the aged system at least picked up some steam this year. Finally, a modern successor headset for the PlayStation 5 is in the works.
Sony should therefore be interested in keeping the brand in the public eye. Therefore, the PlayStation VR should already be a bit above the sales figures from January 2020.